Year 2007 is a historical year of Chinese agriculture industry. Due to the fluctuation of global finance and international economy, China 's agrochemical markets have yet faced huge influences.
• Tax Refund Policy
China 's new export tax refund (exemption) policy is one of the main reasons for the inflation of agrochemicals. The rate was cut down from 11% to 5% in 1 July, due to the “butterfly effect”, most prices are increased up to 10%-15%. Sadly, a new rumor whispered again, that the remaining 5% will be repealed sooner or later in 2008.
• Environmental Pollution Issues
Chinese economy is experiencing a booming growth in past twenty years. The accumulated pollution problems eventually welled out in 2007, and pushed the government to take serious attention. In some provinces along the coast, thousands of small chemical plants, without sewage treatment equipments, were terminated at a sudden. The survivors had to pay high penalty and were forced to build complete and workable waste treatment facilities. This environmental protection storm caused tremendous increase of production cost in all links of chemical industry chain.
• Price Inflation
Almost all agrochemical materials were facing inflation in whole 2007. Take Glyphosate as an example, price increased without inflection point from usd3.3/kg in January of 2007 to usd10/kg at the beginning of January of 2008. The high prices stimulated excess of demand for stock, the excess demand pushed the prices higher, they were sank into this mud.
• Tight Monetary Policies in 2008
China is facing the most serious inflation throughout the whole year of 2007, with its CPI up to 6.9%, which is reported as the highest level in 11 years. The government has announced to adopt a tight monetary policy in 2008, a winter of currency flow to all manufacturers is coming, however, the consumer inflation will be continuing. |